• MySTV

Poll: Ruth Davidson more popular with Scots than Sturgeon

Support for independence is now at 48%, according to Ipsos MORI research.

Ruth Davidson is more popular with Scots than Nicola Sturgeon, according to a new poll commissioned by STV News.

The Scottish Conservative leader's net satisfaction sits at +31, 17 points ahead of the First Minister on +14. The Prime Minister finds herself out in front of the SNP chief too, leading Sturgeon by two points on net satisfaction, at +16.

The research, conducted for the broadcaster by Ipsos MORI, also shows a slight increase in support for independence.

Today, 48% of Scots certain to vote in another referendum would back Yes while 52% would vote No.

Mark Diffley, director at Ipsos MORI Scotland, said: "The summer was dominated by the fallout from the Brexit vote and the impact it may have on support for independence. It is clear from this poll that, despite the UK-wide vote contradicting the wishes of the majority in Scotland, Brexit has not resulted in a surge in support for independence.

"However, at 48% among committed voters, it remains entirely possible that a second referendum campaign could be won by supporters of independence."

The Conservatives will seize on the satisfaction ratings for Nicola Sturgeon, which Ipsos MORI has tracked for STV News since the height of the independence referendum campaign.

While a majority of Scots (54%) remain satisfied with with the Nationalist leader she also attracts a high dissatisfaction score - 40% of Scots report themselves unhappy with her performance as First Minister.

This represents a fall in net satisfaction in Sturgeon of 22 points on April.

Opposition leader Ruth Davidson, who took her party from third to second place and more than doubled her seat tally at May's Holyrood election, beat the First Minister in both the satisfaction and net satisfaction stakes.

The Edinburgh Central MSP is doing a good job according to 55% of Scots and enjoys a net satisfaction rating of +31. Only 24% declare themselves dissatisfied with Davidson's performance.

Forty-seven per cent of Scots are happy with the job Theresa May is doing as Prime Minister, set against 31% who are unhappy. May took over at Number 10 in July after David Cameron resigned in the wake of the Brexit vote.

Public opinion on Scottish Labour leader Kezia Dugdale remains static, with 32% satisfied in her leadership and 42% dissatisfied. Her -10 net rating is a one point increase on her rating from April.

UK Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has seen his popular fall further north of the border. Fifty-five per cent of Scots are unhappy with Corbyn's leadership while 29% are happy, giving the left-winger an overall score of -26, a tumble of 19 points since April.

Brexit appears not to have shifted public opinion on independence substantially.

Fifteen per cent of voters said the UK's impending departure from the European Union had altered their view on independence but 79% said it had not.

However, the SNP will take succour from the poll's findings on undecided voters, who make up 6.5% of respondents. Of those, 36% backed the Union prior to the EU referendum but now say they are undecided but only 14% have gone from supporting independence to undecided.

The poll suggests a majority of Scots do not want a second independence referendum within the next two years.

When asked 54% of Scots said they disagreed with holding a second vote on independence with only 41% wanting another referendum within the next two years.

The legal process for the UK leaving the European Union is expected to take at least two years from the point at which the Prime Minister triggers Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty.

Ipsos MORI conducted telephone interviews with 1000 respondents 16 years and over between September 5 and 11.

Download: The STV News app is Scotland's favourite and is available for iPhone from the App store and for Android from Google Play. Download it today and continue to enjoy STV News wherever you are.

One account. All of STV.

This field is required. That doesn't look like a valid e-mail format, please check. That e-mail's already in our system. Please try again.
Forgot password?
This field is required. This must be at least 6 characters long. Did you enter your details correctly?
If you've forgotten your details then use the 'Forgot password?' link.
Need to reset your password?

We'll send a link to reset your password to

We've sent you details on how to reset your password

Please check your email and follow the instructions.

Forgotten your email address?

Have you forgotten the email address that you previously joined with? Don't worry, by emailing enquiries@stv.tv we can help.

One account. All of STV.

This field is required. Please enter at least 2 characters
This field is required. Please enter at least 2 characters
This must be at least 6 characters long.
This field is required. This must be at least 6 characters long.
You must be over 16 to join STV.
This field is required. This doesn't appear to be a valid date
We need this to check that you live in an STV region.
This field is required. This doesn't appear to be a valid postcode
Would you like us to email you about our great shows and services from time to time?
We'll only send emails we think you'll like (see example) based on information you have supplied and shows you have watched on STV Player. For details on emails and advertising, see our STV & You page.
Would you like to receive emails from the Scottish Children's Lottery about draws, instant games and competitions?
We support the Scottish Children's Lottery (SCL), which is managed by our colleagues at STV ELM Ltd. You can find out more about the SCL on its website, including its Privacy Policy.

By continuing you agree to our Terms of Use, and understand our Privacy and Cookie Policies.

Upload Profile Picture

Please make sure your image is under 2mb in size and a valid JPG, PNG or GIF.

Are you sure?

Unfortunately, you'll be unable to access our premium content. We’ll be sorry to see you go, but if you change your mind you can rejoin us at any time.

Please verify your STV account

Please verify your STV account using the email we sent you. If you have lost the email, we can send you another one, just click the button below.


We've sent you a new verification email.
Please check your email and follow the instructions to verify your account.

Welcome to STV
Thanks for joining us.


Sorry, you must be at least 12 years old to place a vote for your Real Hero.

Please review our Voting Terms of Use for more information.


Sorry! It seems that you are using a browser that is incompatible with our voting service.

To register your vote please copy the below URL in to your regular mobile browser. We recommend Google Chrome, or Safari.



Sorry, you seem to have already voted in this category.

Thanks for voting

Now share your vote with friends on your social network

Share on twitter Share on facebook

Cast your vote

Please register or sign in to continue.

Cast your vote

This field is required. This doesn't appear to be a valid date

Cast your vote

Please fill out this form to cast your vote. As you are under 16 years old you will not create an STV account. Why do we need these details?

This field is required. Please enter at least 2 characters
This field is required. Please enter at least 2 characters
This field is required. That doesn't look like a valid e-mail format, please check.
Location This field is required.
Parental Consent This field is required.

That's you. All that's left is to click the 'Submit Vote' button below. By doing so, you confirm that you and your parent or guardian have read and accept our Voting Terms of Use, Privacy Policy and Cookie policy, and that the details you have entered are correct. We'll look after them as carefully as if they were our own.